March 28, 2024
Troy D. Smith
“The power of quiet Democrats”
Back in
the summer of 2021, I did a series of columns in this newspaper called “When
White County Was Blue.” I was musing about the fact that, for most of my life,
White County was so solidly Democratic that for all intents and purposes the
Democratic Primary was the real election (for virtually all offices), and the
general election only a technicality. I’m going to share a lengthy quote from
the first column in that series:
“I looked
at the presidential results in White County for every election between 1900 and
2020. Allow me to tell you how many times the Republican carried White County
in the 20th century (25 elections).
“Twice.
“The
first time was in 1972: Nixon vs. McGovern. Nixon won 60% to 37% (I will give
all the results in terms of percentages)... Still, it was closer in White County than it was
nationwide, where the margin was 68% to 30%. The only other time was 1988, when Bush, Sr. beat
Dukakis on the national stage 58% to 42%. In White County, though, Bush’s
victory was razor-thin: 50% to 49%, or a margin of only 82 votes…
“Reagan
won Tennessee both times (1980 & 1984), but not White County. Bill Clinton
won by large margins both times. Al Gore lost his home state of Tennessee to
Bush, but he won White County 53% to 45%. But in 2004 Bush beat Kerry, 56% to
44% -the numbers were reversed. Obama lost in 2008 63% to 35%, 68% to 31% in
2012. Trump won 78% to 19% in 2016, 81% to 18% in 2020.”
White
County’s “red” status is relatively recent. A lot of folks who have moved here
in the last 20 years might never have guessed that, and I guess a lot of people
who are from here but under 30 might not have known it. I think a lot of folks
who are from here but are over 30 have FORGOTTEN it, and forgotten which ticket
they themselves used to punch.
Nowadays,
it seems that only about one out of every five voters in White County votes
Democratic. That’s not many. But let’s take a look at some actual numbers where
registered voters are concerned.
In the
2020 presidential election, there were 16,637 registered voters in White County.
Of those, 11,929 actually turned out -or about72%. By the time of the 2022
midterms, there were 17,350 voters, out of whom 7,033 turned out -or 40.5%.
Smaller turnout when the White House is not at stake is the norm. But think
about that total number of registered voters -17,350. If the one-in-five ratio
holds up, that means there are about 3,500 Democratic-leaning voters in this
county. 3,500 people in a place this size is NOT an insignificant number.
And I hear
from them.
Some of
them are people who’ve moved in (though the majority of people moving in
lately have been conservatives from blue states). Many are younger people from
here who have more progressive or liberal ideas than the majority. And a good
many of them are people my age or older, who never did switch over to
supporting Republicans. A lot of those people are quiet about their political
beliefs, being in the minority -but they’re there. Turnout among registered
Democrats tends to be small in rural Tennessee counties -because they are
discouraged. They know their preferred presidential candidates have very little
chance of winning here.
But you
know what? A couple of thousand here and a couple of thousand there, added to
the Democratic majorities in large cities, can make a HUGE difference in a
statewide race (governor or U.S. senator). It could help send Marsha Blackburn
home at the end of this year, and pick up a seat in the Senate for Democrats.
So if
you’re a quiet Democrat… don’t be discouraged. Get out and vote. Your vote CAN
make a difference.
--Troy D.
Smith, a White County native, is a novelist and a history professor at
Tennessee Tech and serves on the executive committee of the Tennessee Democratic
Party. His words do not necessarily represent TTU.
Buy the book A Liberal Dose: Communiques from the Holler by Troy D. Smith HERE
You can find all previous entries in this weekly column HERE
A list of other historical essays that have appeared on this blog can be found HERE
Author's website: www.troyduanesmith.com
The author's historical lectures on youtube can be found HERE